Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-12 74.968848 84.219976 93.705658 104.128089 115.227748 126.666569 139.317063
2025-01-19 58.844673 71.857080 85.839316 101.854346 119.568483 138.449978 159.985794
2025-01-26 52.483339 67.972894 85.160901 105.391000 128.306159 153.234978 182.186576
2025-02-02 47.180107 64.440263 84.145685 107.884043 135.308317 165.638080 201.368309
2025-02-09 41.006007 59.171240 80.516279 106.822269 137.789706 172.568390 214.078251
2025-02-16 35.835269 54.583793 77.235020 105.751031 139.899668 178.780166 225.719925
2025-02-23 32.361622 51.771961 75.809908 106.633208 144.082481 187.208383 239.763022
2025-03-02 28.903210 48.659087 73.750069 106.516188 146.889468 193.890828 251.676551
2025-03-09 26.200677 46.308137 72.455940 107.174947 150.495397 201.412853 264.496382
2025-03-16 23.073570 43.098597 69.833634 105.978887 151.685981 205.950691 273.719477
2025-03-23 21.332603 41.700911 69.478446 107.570740 156.240753 214.467702 287.624291
2025-03-30 19.878474 40.594791 69.420338 109.472992 161.132358 223.364094 301.974652
2025-04-06 17.516084 37.951947 67.156544 108.433699 162.316360 227.794158 311.063738
2025-04-13 14.947780 34.741543 63.916008 105.948181 161.548166 229.755324 317.126246
2025-04-20 14.418455 34.771952 65.253357 109.594389 168.635272 241.400723 334.939838
2025-04-27 13.628323 34.293527 65.806233 112.143513 174.291300 251.276319 350.620238
2025-05-04 11.954387 32.138907 63.779199 111.056915 175.145513 255.124724 358.906977
2025-05-11 10.445200 30.107897 61.815526 109.959863 175.910265 258.807017 366.952025
2025-05-18 9.532554 29.076932 61.309874 110.863247 179.288125 265.763619 379.030796
2025-05-25 8.482246 27.663098 60.128395 110.743418 181.258603 270.911625 388.858487
2025-06-01 7.684334 26.657100 59.530416 111.417965 184.266604 277.365644 400.308004
2025-06-08 6.608678 24.932015 57.677860 110.193211 184.650694 280.426197 407.500057
2025-06-15 6.124186 24.422802 57.783353 111.823225 188.911058 288.467884 420.940465